Live Webcams and Observations Of Hurricane Joaquin In Bermuda

Updated 11:30 GMT Monday 5th October

LOCATION…34.1N 65.2W
ABOUT 125 MI…205 KM N OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…75 KT…85 MPH…140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 10 KT…13 MPH…20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…964 MB…28.47 INCHES

Here are some good live streams from Bermuda.

http://www.portbermudawebcam.com/

http://www.earthcam.com/world/bermuda/pembroke/?cam=bermuda

Summary at 06:00 GMT
Overall max gust: 63 knots at 00:00 GMT
Storm total: 151 mm (5″)

Latest conditions at Bermuda Airport (10:55 GMT, Monday 5th October):

METAR TXKF 051055Z 23035G50KT 9000 VCSH BKN017 BKN090 BKN180 BKN300 26/23 Q0999=

Visibility: 9000 m
Wind: Southerly 35 gusting 50 knots
Weather: Nearby shower. Broken cloud at 1700 ft, 9000 ft, 30,000 ft.
Temperature: 26 °C
Dewpoint: 23 °C
Pressure: 999 hPa

Previous METARs: ddhhmmZ

METAR TXKF 050955Z 22031G43KT 9000 VCSH SCT009 BKN017 BKN033 BKN160 26/23 Q0998=
METAR TXKF 050855Z 22032G44KT 6000 -RA BR SCT009 BKN017CB OVC040 26/23 Q0997 RMK CB DSNT NE=
METAR TXKF 050755Z 22035G47KT 6000 -RA BR BKN017 BKN026 OVC062 26/23 Q0995 RESHRA RMK CB DSNT NE-E
METAR TXKF 050355Z 19042G56KT 2400 RA BR BKN014CB OVC026 26/23 Q0992 RMK CB N-SW MOV NE=
METAR TXKF 050255Z 19038G52KT 2400 RA BR BKN011CB BKN021 OVC051 26/24 Q0992 RMK CB SW-NW + DSNT NE=
METAR TXKF 050155Z 18040G55KT 4800 -RA BR BKN013CB BKN028 OVC048 27/23 Q0991 RMK PK WND18063/00 OCNL LTG DSNT NW ASOCTD CB SW-NW=
METAR TXKF 050055Z 18040G56KT 4000 -RA BR BKN012CB OVC027 27/24 Q0990 RMK CB SW-NW=
METAR TXKF 042255Z 16036G49KT 4800 BR VCSH BKN014CB OVC025 27/24 Q0991 RMK CB DSNT SW-NW=
METAR TXKF 042155Z 15033G44KT 4800 BR BKN011CB BKN025 OVC034 27/24 Q0992 RMK DSNT EMBDD CB NW-E + SW=
METAR TXKF 042055Z 14030G42KT 4800 BR BKN013CB BKN023 OVC038 27/24 Q0993 RMK CB DSNT SW-SE=
METAR TXKF 041955Z 15027G37KT 4800 -RA BKN009CB BKN024 OVC038 27/24 Q0994 RESHRA RMK CB NW-SE + DSNT SW-W=
SPECI TXKF 041941Z 15030G43KT 4400 -RA BKN009CB OVC028 27/24 Q0994 RMK CB NW-SE + DSNT SW-W=
SPECI TXKF 041918Z 14029G40KT 3200 RA BKN007CB OVC026 26/25 Q0995 RMK CB NW-SE + DSNT SW=
SPECI TXKF 041907Z 14029G42KT 1600 +RA BKN006CB OVC017 26/24 Q0995 RMK CB NW-SE + DSNT SW=
METAR TXKF 041855Z 12028G46KT 090V150 0800 1300/ R12/1100VP2000U R30/0800VP2000U +RA BKN006CB OVC021 25/24 Q0995 RMK CB EMBDD W-E=

Latest TAF (airport forecast. See here for a guide on decoding)

TAF TXKF 050533Z 0506/0606 22040G55KT 4800 -SHRA SCT011 BKN025
TEMPO 0506/0515 22040G50KT 3200 SHRA BKN012CB
PROB40 TEMPO 0506/0512 22045G55KT 1600 +TSRA BKN006CB
PROB30 TEMPO 0506/0509 22050G60KT 0800 +TSRA BKN004CB
BECMG 0512/0515 24030G45KT 9999 VCSH FEW015 SCT025 BKN120
PROB40 TEMPO 0512/0606 4800 -SHRA SCT011 BKN025
BECMG 0603/0606 26025G35KT=

Airport is closed up 13:00 GMT Monday:

A0131/15 NOTAMN Q) TXKF/QFALC/IV/NBO/A/000/999/3222N06441W005 A)
TXKF B) 1510041600 C) 1510051300 EST E)
TXKF AERODROME CLSD EFFECTIVE 1600Z
DUE TO HURRICANE JOAQUIN
CREATED: 04 Oct 2015 11:47:00
SOURCE: TXKFYAYX

Latest IR satellite picture and forecast track.
Latest IR satellite picture and forecast track. Image from CIMSS

Latest from the NHC:

HURRICANE JOAQUIN DISCUSSION NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112015

0900 GMT, 500 AM AST MON OCT 05 2015

The weakening that Joaquin has experienced during the past day or so appears to have temporarily stopped overnight.  Deep convection has increased near the center, and an eye has intermittently been seen infrared satellite pictures.  The initial wind speed of 75 kt is based on recent Dvorak satellite estimates from TAFB and SAB. Only a slight reduction in strength is expected during the next day or so while Joaquin remains within an area of light to moderate vertical wind shear and over sea surface temperatures of around 27C.
After that time, increasing southwesterly shear and cooler waters should cause gradual weakening. Joaquin is expected to interact with a baroclinic zone in a couple of days and become an extratropical cyclone within 72 hours. The global models slowly weaken the extratropical low as it moves eastward over the central and eastern
Atlantic later this week.

The initial motion estimate is 025/11 kt. Joaquin should turn northeastward and move at a slightly faster forward speed by tonight as a ridge to the northeast of the hurricane weakens. Joaquin should become embedded within the mid-latitude westerlies in 36 to 48 hours and accelerate east-northeastward.  The track guidance is in good agreement on this scenario and the NHC forecast is near the center of the guidance envelope.  The track of the extratropical low is a blend of the previous advisory and guidance provided by the Ocean Prediction Center.

The tropical storm force wind radii have been expanded outward based on earlier ASCAT data.  Tropical storm conditions are likely to continue on Bermuda for a few more hours.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  05/0900Z 34.1N  65.2W   75 KT  85 MPH
12H  05/1800Z 35.4N  64.0W   70 KT  80 MPH
24H  06/0600Z 37.1N  61.4W   70 KT  80 MPH
36H  06/1800Z 38.6N  56.9W   70 KT  80 MPH
48H  07/0600Z 39.9N  50.7W   65 KT  75 MPH
72H  08/0600Z 42.0N  36.0W   55 KT  65 MPH…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
96H  09/0600Z 43.5N  23.0W   50 KT  60 MPH…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H  10/0600Z 45.0N  17.0W   40 KT  45 MPH…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

Latest ASCAT winds at 18:00 GMT Sunday.

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